Bet Butler betting logic, Dec 26 |
- Bet Butler betting logic, Dec 26
- Fellaini could miss two months after wrist op
- Weekend facts: Liverpools short road to glory and much more
| Bet Butler betting logic, Dec 26 Posted: 23 Dec 2013 10:00 AM PST Our good friends at Bet Butler have returned with more vital titbits to help influence your tipping as this year's festive matches approach. A feast of football takes place on Boxing Day, with the lunchtime entertainment kicking off with Charlton Athletic hosting Brighton and Hove Albion. Premier League champions Manchester United then travel to Hull City for the day's first Premier League offering, which ends with the showpiece event that is table-toppers Liverpool travelling to free-scoring Manchester City We'll also give you the lowdown on the sides missing key men and begging to be taken on - featuring Southampton, Preston and Exeter. Charlton vs Brighton (12:30pm) It's an early start at The Valley for these two and Charlton will have to make do without their suspended captain Johnnie Jackson. Since the start of last season he's failed to play at least an hour in 18 of Charlton's 67 games and on those occasions they've won only twice and scored just 13 goals. Moreover, in the 10 home matches he's missed they've won 0, picking up just 4 points and scoring only 4 goals as 8 of the games have featured fewer than 3 goals. Given they host in-form opposition, with Brighton coming to visit, the home side look worth opposing. Charlton have only beaten struggling Doncaster in their last 8 home matches, failing to score 5 times. However, they have managed to draw 5 of their last 12 home games against top-half teams. Brighton have lost only 1 of their last 10 matches and just 2 of 14 on the road. Six of those 14 games finished level though, while 9 were goalless at the break. It's hard to see this being a Christmas cracker but Brighton's record away to bottom-half teams since the start of last season of W8 D10 L3 suggests the Seagulls will finish the happier of the two teams. Two bets appeal here and that is the Half-Time 0-0 Correct Score at 2.65.The second bet is the full-time draw which just about edges the away win for value and can be backed at 3.4. Hull vs Man United (12:45pm) Hull's home record has been excellent this season as they find themselves just one point below the top half at Christmas. However, they've only once scored more than a single goal in their 8 home games and have hosted just one team above 10th-placed Stoke. Given Man United have scored 3 times in their last 2 matches and 2 or more in their last 5 on the road this might be an unfortunate time for the Tigers to face the champions. Man United have won 12 of their 16 trips to bottom-half teams since the start of last season, losing only once, and they've won 8 of their last 11 away matches at promoted sides. United should continue their resurgence here and after leading at the break in 3 of their last 4 away matches. The Win/Win double is a very tempting 2.5. While United should have too much quality for Hull we wouldn't be surprised to see the Tigers score. United have kept just 2 clean sheets in their last 13 matches and Over 2.5 Goals looks a good price. Even if Hull fail to score United have the quality to settle the market on their own. Since the start of last season 10 of their 16 trips to bottom-half teams have had at least 3 strikes.Back Over 2.5 Goals at 1.95. Man City vs Liverpool (5:30pm) The title favourites host the leaders in the Boxing Day highlight. Man City have been unstoppable at home, but in Luis Suarez Liverpool have the hottest striker in world football. Five of the current top eight have already gone to the Etihad this season and only Everton avoided being thrashed by 3 clear goals. Given Liverpool's away record has been inconsistent this term and they've lost 3-0 here in two of the last three seasons the home side look an obvious bet. The only doubt is the absence of Sergio Aguero. The Argentine has started all of City's home games this season, scoring in 6 with 9 goals in total. In the 4 home games he missed last term against teams that finished above the bottom six City scored just 6 goals and they surely wont repeat the six-goal efforts they managed against Spurs and Arsenal. They should be backed at 1.85, although dutching the one-goal and two-goal winning margins also appeals at combined odds of 2.49. Over-goals prices are predictably short given the nature of both teams' recent form but with the odds as short as they are we would avoid getting involved. Goalscorer market looks to offer better opportunities. City's extra attacking verve has allowed Yaya Toure to contribute 11 goals from 23 appearances, including scoring in 5 of their home games in the league. Having netted against Arsenal, Man United and Newcastle this season, the Ivorian looks well worth backing to score again. Missing men Victor Wanyama, (Southampton) Wanyama has missed 4 Southampton games this season and without him they are yet to win. Moreover, they've conceded 8 goals in those games while they've only conceded 10 in the 13 matches he's played. However, they still look good going forward and both teams to score makes most appeal here at 2.0. Kevin Davies (Preston) Davies has missed 6 games this season and without the veteran striker Preston have won only once, despite 5 of those games being at home. Carlisle +0.25 on the Asian Handicap looks a great price at 1.9. Danny Coles (Exeter) Since Coles got injured 6 games ago Exeter have won only once and conceded 12 times. This is a 54% increase compared with how often they've conceded with him in the teams since the start of last season and Cheltenham, who are 10 games unbeaten, should be backed at 2.0 to take the win. This posting includes an audio/video/photo media file: Download Now |
| Fellaini could miss two months after wrist op Posted: 23 Dec 2013 04:35 AM PST The Belgium international originally damaged his wrist in October, but had been playing with a protective cast and delaying an operation due to other injuries within United's squad. However, United have chosen to address the issue after Fellaini missed the victory over West Ham on Saturday with a back injury. A United spokesperson confirmed to Perform that Fellaini had undergone surgery, but details regarding the length of his absence remain unclear. United's decision to resolve Fellaini's problem will have been made easier by the return to fitness of fellow midfielder Darren Fletcher, while Michael Carrick is also thought to be close to a comeback. This posting includes an audio/video/photo media file: Download Now |
| Weekend facts: Liverpools short road to glory and much more Posted: 23 Dec 2013 03:00 AM PST Fascinating facts from each of this weekend's Premier League games, including slow-starting Everton, imperious Rooney, illegal Spurs, poor Palace, pass-free Britannia, exciting Stadium of Light and rather good Liverpool. Swansea 1-2 Everton Seamus Coleman's opener means that Everton defenders have supplied 8 Premier League goals this season, more than at any other club. Of Everton's last 11 league goals, 5 have come from full-backs (Coleman 3, Oviedo 2). Ross Barkley's late winner means that Everton have now scored 3 league goals from direct free-kicks this season; only Man City (5) have scored more, although Liverpool and Man United also have 3. Of Everton's 14 shots in this game, 10 came in the second half. Swansea made a weekend-high 23 interceptions. Swansea • Everton • Swansea 1-2 Everton on Stats Zone ANALYSIS The kids are alright for Roy Southampton 2-3 Tottenham Either side of Jos Hooiveld's own goal, Spurs scored 2 goals from 3 unblocked shots on target (Saints had 5). Southampton goalkeeper Paulo Gazzaniga has conceded 10 goals this season but made only 6 saves. Adam Lallana's 13th-minute goal was Southampton's 1st from outside the box in open play this season. Tottenham have now gone 7 Premier League games without keeping a clean sheet. Excluding penalties, Roberto Soldado has hit only 8 shots on target in 15 league appearances for Tottenham. Tottenham's total of 18 fouls is a league high for them this season. The only game under AVB in which they conceded as many fouls as in this game was the home game vs Arsenal last season (21). Southampton • Tottenham • Southampton 2-3 Tottenham on Stats Zone ANALYSIS Sherwood's gambles pay off Crystal Palace 0-3 Newcastle Palace had just 33% possession. Overall this season they have averaged a league-low 39.8% possession at home. This is the first time Newcastle have kept back-to-back clean sheets in league away games since September 2011. Prior to Yohan Cabaye's goal Palace had kept three consecutive clean sheets at home, going 297 minutes without conceding at Selhurst Park in the league. 22% of Crystal Palace's passes were long, the highest proportion in the PL this weekend. Each team completed 17 long balls (Palace attempted 59 to Newcastle's 51) but the visitors completed 472 short passes to the hosts' 171. Crystal Palace • Newcastle • Palace 0-3 Newcastle on Stats Zone ANALYSIS Pardew continues to prove his credentials Fulham 2-4 Man City Yaya Toure has now scored 9 league goals this season, his most prolific campaign with City. Toure has scored 4 direct free kick goals in his Premier League career – all this season. The only time a team has scored more goals after 17 Premier League games than City have this season (51) was City themselves, with 53 in their 2011/12 title-winning campaign. City were the only team this weekend to reach double figures for shots on target (10). Fulham • Man City • Fulham 2-4 Man City on Stats Zone ANALYSIS Meulensteen must unlock Taarabt's potential• ANALYSIS Negredo is City's unsung hero Man United 3-1 West Ham All 5 visiting goalkeepers to make their Premier League debut at Old Trafford have conceded and lost, Adrian joining Fulham's Edwin van der Sar, Manchester City's Andreas Isaksson, Derby's Mart Poom and Arsenal's Wojciech Szczesny. Danny Welbeck has scored in successive PL games for the first time since April 2012. Carlton Cole scored his 1st away Premier League goal since West Brom in February 2011, ending a run of 24 away games without a goal. West Ham scored with their 1st and only shot on target in this game. It was their first league goal at Old Trafford in the league since Dean Ashton scored in a 4-1 defeat in May 2008. Man United delivered 18 unsuccessful crosses in this game. No one in the PL created more goalscoring chances this weekend than Wayne Rooney (6) – all from open play. Man United • West Ham • Man United 3-1 West Ham on Stats Zone ANALYSIS United youngsters thrive but Rooney the main man Stoke 2-1 Aston Villa In 15 league games this season Charlie Adam has scored 4 goals - more than he managed in the whole of 2012-13 (3 in 27 games). Aston Villa have scored only 1 goal in the first half of their last 12 league matches. Stoke scored with both of their shots on target in this match; Villa had 4. Villa were successful with only 56% of their passes in the opposition half, the lowest rate in the Premier League this weekend. Stoke are only 9th in total long throws this season but had the most this weekend (9), in the week that Rory Delap retired from football. There were only 344 completed passes in this game (Stoke 186, Villa 158) - easily the lowest in the division this weekend. The highest total was 841 at Fulham-Man City. Stoke • Aston Villa • Stoke 2-1 Aston Villa on Stats Zone ANALYSIS Stoke style guide a work in progress Sunderland 0-0 Norwich Including blocked shots, there were 33 attempts on goal. Of the other 17 Premier League 0-0s this season, only Norwich-Cardiff featured more shots (37). Norwich have drawn just 2 of their last 15 league away games, both at Sunderland. Sunderland • Norwich • Sunderland 0-0 Norwich on Stats Zone ANALYSIS Sunderland need a striker as Altidore struggles West Brom 1-1 Hull WBA striker Matej Vydra scored with his first shot of any kind in the Premier League. 17 of the 20 league goals Hull have conceded this season have come in away games. West Brom made the most unsuccessful passes in the final third (64) this weekend, Hull the fewest (31) – although in percentage terms the two weren't far apart: WBA's 108 completions from 172 attempts is 61.7%, Hull's 50 from 81 is 62.7%. West Brom • Hull • West Brom 1-1 Hull on Stats Zone ANALYSIS Huddlestone leads the way for Tigers Liverpool 3-1 Cardiff Liverpool have scored twice as many goals in the first half of Premier League games this season (28) as they have in the second half (14). The Anfield outfit have won 6 successive home league games for the first time since March 2010; they went on to win 8 on the bounce. Liverpool have conceded exactly 1 goal in 6 of their last 7 home league games. Brendan Rodgers' side hit the woodwork 3 times, making their season total a league-leading 15. Cardiff had the most headed shots this weekend (6) and scored the only headed goal. Liverpool played the highest proportion of short passes this weekend (93%). 609 of their 637 attempted passes were short. The home side played 5 through-balls, a third of the total in the Premier League this weekend. Luis Suarez made 16 touches in the opposition box, more than each of Villa, Cardiff, Hull and Southampton. Liverpool • Cardiff • Liverpool 3-1 Cardiff on Stats Zone ANALYSIS Henderson thrives after Gait-gate This posting includes an audio/video/photo media file: Download Now |
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